tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post2647525344214925927..comments2024-03-10T15:13:47.148-07:00Comments on Research-China.Org: Why the Wait Time Increase?Research-China.Orghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09137919637778021754noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-32926414463140054262009-12-25T20:19:52.158-08:002009-12-25T20:19:52.158-08:00Changes in leadership could, of course, have an im...Changes in leadership could, of course, have an impact on China's program. The problem is that there is no evidence that any change were made. Directors of orphanages continued to be pushed to submit as many children as possible. The February 2006 meeting did result in one significant change, however. With the emphasis on SN children, there seems to have been a sharp increase in SN submissions. What we don't see is any communication that there was to be a concerted change in policy or direction. Thus, I believe that changes in leadership had little impact on wait times or the decrease in submissions. While some people continue to maintain that the number of adoptions is being dictated by the central government (a limit or quota), there is no evidence to substantiate that claim, and abundant evidence pointing in other directions.<br /><br />BrianResearch-China.Orghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09137919637778021754noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-85604494863762826162009-12-25T12:11:18.153-08:002009-12-25T12:11:18.153-08:00Brian there is an obvious thing that no one seems ...Brian there is an obvious thing that no one seems to mention in this context.<br /><br />Wasnt't there a change of high level party officials in China that predated, by a short time, the big changes in waits? I seem to remember that the premier who had been an adopted person himself, was replaced by someone who had no personal interest in adoption.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-59520831013115565602009-12-16T02:55:33.339-08:002009-12-16T02:55:33.339-08:00Thanks for the research and your well written post...Thanks for the research and your well written post. My wife and I have been waiting for 13 months now (seems like a short time compared to families that have waited 40+ months!) It is difficult to wait, and to feel like we have no control. <br /><br />It is also interesting to note the wait time continues to increase in a linear fashion even today. I'm wondering when it will peak and come back down. That is the other difficulty -- not knowing exactly how long this is going to take. Will our total wait time be 41 months? 36 months? 50+ months? Nobody appears to know... sad.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-91854672967873295732009-12-14T09:01:53.471-08:002009-12-14T09:01:53.471-08:00"National Adoption Month and Intercountry Ado..."National Adoption Month and Intercountry Adoption (Assistant Secretary Jacobs op-ed, November 2009)<br /><br /><br />By Janice L. Jacobs - Assistant Secretary for Consular Affairs<br /><br />November was National Adoption Month, when hundreds of events were held around the country to finalize adoptions of children in foster care and to celebrate adoptive families. Last year, families in the United States adopted over 12,500 children from around the world and more than 70,000 children domestically. U.S. citizens adopt more children internationally than the rest of the world combined. I believe this is a testament to the love and generosity of the American people. "<br /><br /><br />Assuming the US adopted 17433 IA in 2008 - That is a drop of close 5000 children. If you take out Guatimala ( 4000 +/-) and the balance of the world is about the same- it looks like the China Program took another 25% hit in referals. <br /><br />Fewer children = longer wait timeAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-28862519799425255262009-12-14T07:08:38.394-08:002009-12-14T07:08:38.394-08:00For long-time readers like yourself, there probabl...For long-time readers like yourself, there probably isn't much new material. But many people are new on the scene, or have not read much about this subject, so I wanted to re-enforce the material from over the last few years. Some families continue to believe that the wait is increasing due to quotas from the CCAA, the Olympics, implementation of Hague restrictions, etc. I felt a single article showing none of those reasons are impacting wait times was needed.<br /><br />BrianResearch-China.Orghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09137919637778021754noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-71607708960541380512009-12-14T06:57:43.030-08:002009-12-14T06:57:43.030-08:00I follow very carefully all of your posts. And I&#...I follow very carefully all of your posts. And I've been doing so for a couple of years now.<br /><br />I may be missing something, but I'm afraid I must say I can not see what is new in your latest post. You've been developing all those subjects and figures already in previous ones, Brian, haven't you?<br />So, even if the subject remains interesting, what is the point of keeping rehearsing?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-28122263313867015632009-12-08T12:55:00.237-08:002009-12-08T12:55:00.237-08:00In many instances that is the case. However, thos...In many instances that is the case. However, those orphanages that stopped their programs could restart at any time (like Changde in Hunan). Also, with no program those orphanages really aren't involved in the IA program any more. Thus, a significant percentage of the orphanages that do adopt large numbers of children are those that still have baby-buying programs in place.<br /><br />BrianResearch-China.Orghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09137919637778021754noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-15636692.post-12412316045457719692009-12-08T12:43:11.792-08:002009-12-08T12:43:11.792-08:00Does this mean that orphanages took note of the Hu...Does this mean that orphanages took note of the Hunan scandal and stopped baby buying practices? So the children now in orphanages are perhaps more likely to be legitimate orphans?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com